{
  "dataset": "global_ai_productivity_impact_v1_0",
  "version": "1.0",
  "publish_date": "2026-04-20",
  "license": "CC BY 4.0",
  "publisher": "Alice Labs",
  "schema": ["metric_name","value","unit","year","geography","definition","source_url","publisher","publish_date","accessed_date","confidence"],
  "indicators": [
    {"metric_name":"firm_ai_adoption_rate","value":18,"unit":"percent_of_firms","year":"2025","geography":"US","definition":"Business-survey estimate of firms adopting AI by year-end 2025","source_url":"https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/monitoring-ai-adoption-in-the-us-economy.htm","publisher":"Federal Reserve Board","publish_date":"2026-04-03","accessed_date":"2026-04-20","confidence":"High"},
    {"metric_name":"worker_ai_use_rate","value":39,"unit":"percent_of_employed_respondents","year":"2025","geography":"US","definition":"Workers who used AI at work currently or in prior 12 months","source_url":"https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/blog/2026/04/use-of-gen-ai-in-the-workplace-and-the-value-of-access-to-training","publisher":"New York Fed","publish_date":"2026-04-14","accessed_date":"2026-04-20","confidence":"Medium"},
    {"metric_name":"eu_enterprise_ai_use","value":20.0,"unit":"percent_of_enterprises","year":"2025","geography":"EU","definition":"Enterprises with 10+ employees using AI technologies","source_url":"https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-eurostat-news/w/ddn-20251211-1","publisher":"Eurostat","publish_date":"2025-12-11","accessed_date":"2026-04-20","confidence":"High"},
    {"metric_name":"eu_large_enterprise_ai_use","value":55.03,"unit":"percent_of_enterprises","year":"2025","geography":"EU","definition":"Large enterprises (250+ employees) using AI technologies","source_url":"https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Use_of_artificial_intelligence_in_enterprises","publisher":"Eurostat","publish_date":"2025-12-11","accessed_date":"2026-04-20","confidence":"High"},
    {"metric_name":"uk_firm_ai_adoption","value":9,"unit":"percent_of_firms","year":"2023","geography":"UK","definition":"Firms adopting AI as part of methods or processes","source_url":"https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/economicoutputandproductivity/productivitymeasures/articles/managementpracticesandtheadoptionoftechnologyandaiinukfirms/2025-03-24","publisher":"ONS","publish_date":"2025-03-24","accessed_date":"2026-04-20","confidence":"High"},
    {"metric_name":"call_center_productivity_gain","value":14,"unit":"percent","year":"2023","geography":"US","definition":"Increase in issues resolved per hour after AI assistant rollout","source_url":"https://www.nber.org/papers/w31161","publisher":"NBER / QJE","publish_date":"2023-04","accessed_date":"2026-04-20","confidence":"High"},
    {"metric_name":"call_center_novice_gain","value":34,"unit":"percent","year":"2023","geography":"US","definition":"Productivity improvement for novice and low-skilled workers","source_url":"https://www.nber.org/papers/w31161","publisher":"NBER / QJE","publish_date":"2023-04","accessed_date":"2026-04-20","confidence":"High"},
    {"metric_name":"writing_task_time_change","value":-0.8,"unit":"standard_deviations","year":"2023","geography":"US","definition":"Reduction in time taken on professional writing tasks with ChatGPT","source_url":"https://economics.mit.edu/sites/default/files/inline-files/Noy_Zhang_1.pdf","publisher":"MIT","publish_date":"2023-03-02","accessed_date":"2026-04-20","confidence":"Medium"},
    {"metric_name":"writing_task_quality_change","value":0.4,"unit":"standard_deviations","year":"2023","geography":"US","definition":"Increase in output quality on professional writing tasks","source_url":"https://economics.mit.edu/sites/default/files/inline-files/Noy_Zhang_1.pdf","publisher":"MIT","publish_date":"2023-03-02","accessed_date":"2026-04-20","confidence":"Medium"},
    {"metric_name":"consultant_speed_gain","value":25,"unit":"percent_minimum","year":"2023","geography":"Global","definition":"Speed gain on tasks within AI frontier (consultants)","source_url":"https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=64700","publisher":"HBS AI Institute / BCG","publish_date":"2023-09-21","accessed_date":"2026-04-20","confidence":"Medium"},
    {"metric_name":"consultant_quality_gain","value":40,"unit":"percent_minimum","year":"2023","geography":"Global","definition":"Human-rated performance gain on tasks within AI frontier","source_url":"https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=64700","publisher":"HBS AI Institute / BCG","publish_date":"2023-09-21","accessed_date":"2026-04-20","confidence":"Medium"},
    {"metric_name":"developer_completed_tasks_gain","value":26.08,"unit":"percent","year":"2025","geography":"Multi-firm","definition":"Increase in completed tasks with AI coding assistant (4,867 devs)","source_url":"https://www.nber.org/papers/w33777","publisher":"Cui et al. (NBER)","publish_date":"2025-02","accessed_date":"2026-04-20","confidence":"High"},
    {"metric_name":"startup_field_avg_effect","value":0,"unit":"treatment_effect","year":"2023","geography":"Kenya","definition":"Average treatment effect of AI business mentor","source_url":"https://www.hbs.edu/ris/Publication%20Files/24-013_8d2c5f2c.pdf","publisher":"HBS / Berkeley RCT","publish_date":"2023-12","accessed_date":"2026-04-20","confidence":"Medium"},
    {"metric_name":"startup_high_performer_gain","value":20,"unit":"percent_minimum","year":"2023","geography":"Kenya","definition":"Gain for higher-performing entrepreneurs using AI","source_url":"https://www.hbs.edu/ris/Publication%20Files/24-013_8d2c5f2c.pdf","publisher":"HBS / Berkeley RCT","publish_date":"2023-12","accessed_date":"2026-04-20","confidence":"Medium"},
    {"metric_name":"startup_low_performer_change","value":-10,"unit":"percent","year":"2023","geography":"Kenya","definition":"Lower-performing entrepreneurs did worse with AI assistance","source_url":"https://www.hbs.edu/ris/Publication%20Files/24-013_8d2c5f2c.pdf","publisher":"HBS / Berkeley RCT","publish_date":"2023-12","accessed_date":"2026-04-20","confidence":"Medium"},
    {"metric_name":"ai_assisted_work_hours_share","value":5.4,"unit":"percent_of_user_work_hours","year":"2024","geography":"US","definition":"Average time savings for users from generative AI","source_url":"https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2025/feb/impact-generative-ai-work-productivity","publisher":"St. Louis Fed","publish_date":"2025-02-27","accessed_date":"2026-04-20","confidence":"Medium"},
    {"metric_name":"implied_aggregate_productivity_gain","value":1.1,"unit":"percent","year":"2024","geography":"US","definition":"Aggregate productivity gain implied by time savings","source_url":"https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2025/feb/impact-generative-ai-work-productivity","publisher":"St. Louis Fed","publish_date":"2025-02-27","accessed_date":"2026-04-20","confidence":"Medium"},
    {"metric_name":"eu_firm_productivity_gain","value":4,"unit":"percent","year":"2019-2024","geography":"EU","definition":"Short-run labor productivity increase from AI adoption","source_url":"https://www.bis.org/publ/work1220.htm","publisher":"BIS / EIB","publish_date":"2026-01","accessed_date":"2026-04-20","confidence":"High"},
    {"metric_name":"atlanta_exec_productivity_gain_high_skill_services","value":0.8,"unit":"percent_annual_labor_productivity_growth","year":"2025","geography":"US","definition":"Implied gain for high-skill services especially finance","source_url":"https://www.atlantafed.org/research/publications/policy-hub/2026/03/ai-productivity-workforce-corporate-executives","publisher":"Atlanta Fed","publish_date":"2026-03","accessed_date":"2026-04-20","confidence":"Medium"},
    {"metric_name":"oecd_macro_gain_high_exposure","value":1.3,"unit":"percentage_points_annual_max","year":"2025","geography":"G7","definition":"Modeled annual labor productivity gain (high-exposure scenario)","source_url":"https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/macroeconomic-productivity-gains-from-artificial-intelligence-in-g7-economies_a8b3f5cb-en.html","publisher":"OECD","publish_date":"2025","accessed_date":"2026-04-20","confidence":"Medium"},
    {"metric_name":"imf_europe_productivity_gain","value":1.0,"unit":"percent_cumulative_5y","year":"2025","geography":"EU","definition":"Modeled medium-term TFP gain over 5 years","source_url":"https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/Selected-Issues-Papers/Issues/2025/03/14/Artificial-Intelligence-and-Productivity-in-Europe-562498","publisher":"IMF","publish_date":"2025-03","accessed_date":"2026-04-20","confidence":"Medium"},
    {"metric_name":"acemoglu_annual_tfp_gain","value":0.07,"unit":"percentage_points_per_year","year":"2024","geography":"US","definition":"Annualized TFP gain (conceptual macro model)","source_url":"https://www.nber.org/papers/w32487","publisher":"Acemoglu / NBER","publish_date":"2024-04-05","accessed_date":"2026-04-20","confidence":"Medium"},
    {"metric_name":"aghion_bunel_growth_range_max","value":1.3,"unit":"percentage_points_per_year","year":"2024","geography":"Aggregate","definition":"Upper bound annual productivity growth from AI","source_url":"https://www.frbsf.org/research-and-insights/publications/economic-letter/2024/06/ai-and-growth-where-do-we-stand","publisher":"FRBSF / Aghion-Bunel","publish_date":"2024-06","accessed_date":"2026-04-20","confidence":"Medium"},
    {"metric_name":"worker_training_offered","value":15.9,"unit":"percent_of_employed_respondents","year":"2025","geography":"US","definition":"Workers whose employer currently offers AI training","source_url":"https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/blog/2026/04/use-of-gen-ai-in-the-workplace-and-the-value-of-access-to-training","publisher":"New York Fed","publish_date":"2026-04-14","accessed_date":"2026-04-20","confidence":"Medium"},
    {"metric_name":"eu_adoption_barrier_expertise","value":70.89,"unit":"percent","year":"2025","geography":"EU","definition":"Enterprises citing lack of expertise as barrier","source_url":"https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Use_of_artificial_intelligence_in_enterprises","publisher":"Eurostat","publish_date":"2025-12-11","accessed_date":"2026-04-20","confidence":"High"},
    {"metric_name":"eu_adoption_barrier_legal","value":52.52,"unit":"percent","year":"2025","geography":"EU","definition":"Enterprises citing legal uncertainty as barrier","source_url":"https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Use_of_artificial_intelligence_in_enterprises","publisher":"Eurostat","publish_date":"2025-12-11","accessed_date":"2026-04-20","confidence":"High"}
  ]
}